Cisco predicts tremendous internet traffic growth over the next 5 years

Cisco-Visual-Networking-Index

The internet is made up of thousands of public and private networks around the world. And since it came to life in 1984, more than 4.7 zettabytes of IP traffic have flowed across it. That’s the same as all the movies ever made crossing global IP networks in less than a minute.

Yet the new Visual Networking Index (VNI) by Cisco predicts that is just the beginning. By 2022, more IP traffic will cross global networks than in all prior ‘internet years’ combined up to the end of 2016. In other words, more traffic will be created in 2022 than in the 32 years since the internet started. Where will that traffic come from? All of us, our machines and the way we use the internet. By 2022, 60 percent of the global population will be internet users. More than 28 billion devices and connections will be online. And video will make up 82 percent of all IP traffic.

“The size and complexity of the internet continues to grow in ways that many could not have imagined. Since we first started the VNI Forecast in 2005, traffic has increased 56-fold, amassing a 36 percent CAGR with more people, devices and applications accessing IP networks,” said Jonathan Davidson, senior vice president and general manager, Service Provider Business, Cisco. “Global service providers are focused on transforming their networks to better manage and route traffic, while delivering premium experiences. Our ongoing research helps us gain and share valuable insights into technology and architectural transitions our customers must make to succeed.”

internet-traffic-growth

Key predictions for 2022

Cisco’s VNI looks at the impact that users, devices and other trends will have on global IP networks over a five-year period. From 2017 to 2022, Cisco predicts:

  1. Global IP traffic will more than triple
    • Global IP traffic is expected to reach 396 exabytes per month by 2022, up from 122 exabytes per month in 2017. That’s 4.8 zettabytes of traffic per year by 2022.
    • By 2022, the busiest hour of internet traffic will be six times more active than the average. Busy hour internet traffic will grow by nearly five times (37 percent CAGR) from 2017 to 2022, reaching 7.2 petabytes [1] per second by 2022. In comparison, average internet traffic will grow by nearly four times (30 percent CAGR) over the same period to reach 1 petabyte by 2022.
  2. Global internet users will make up 60 percent of the world’s population
    • There will be 4.8 billion internet users by 2022. That’s up from 3.4 billion in 2017 or 45 percent of the world’s population.
  3. Global networked devices and connections will reach 28.5 billion
    • By 2022, there will be 28.5 billion fixed and mobile personal devices and connections, up from 18 billion in 2017—or 3.6 networked devices/connections per person, from 2.4 per person.
    • More than half of all devices and connections will be machine-to-machine by 2022, up from 34 percent in 2017. That’s 14.6 billion connections from smart speakers, fixtures, devices and everything else, up from 6.1 billion.
  4. Global broadband, Wi-Fi and mobile speeds will double or more
    • Average global fixed broadband speeds will nearly double from 39.0 Mbps to 75.4 Mbps.
    • Average global Wi-Fi connection speeds will more than double from 24.4 Mbps to 54.0 Mbps.
    • Average global mobile connection speeds will more than triple from 8.7 Mbps to 28.5 Mbps.
  5. Video, gaming and multimedia will make up more than 85 percent of all traffic
    • IP video traffic will quadruple by 2022. As a result, it will make up an even larger percentage of total IP traffic than before—up to 82 percent from 75 percent.
    • Gaming traffic is expected to grow nine-fold from 2017 to 2022. It will represent four percent of overall IP traffic in 2022.
    • Virtual and augmented reality traffic will skyrocket as more consumers and businesses use the technologies. By 2022, virtual and augmented reality traffic will reach 4.02 exabytes/month, up from 0.33 exabytes/month in 2017.

virtual augmented reality

Regional IP traffic growth details (2017 – 2022)

  • APAC: 173 exabytes/month by 2022, 32 percent CAGR, four-times growth
  • North America: 108 exabytes/month by 2022, 21 percent CAGR, three-times growth
  • Western Europe: 50 exabytes/month 2022, 22 percent CAGR, three-times growth
  • Central & Eastern Europe: 25 exabytes/month by 2022, 26 percent CAGR, three-times growth
  • Middle East and Africa: 21 exabytes/month by 2022, 41 percent CAGR, six-times growth
  • Latin America: 19 exabytes/month by 2022, 21 percent CAGR, three-times growth

Related Post

YouTube rules the mobile net roost YouTube video-sharing service is the most popular website among smartphone users, accounting for 17 per cent of mobile data traffic, according to a ...
Nepal Telecom plans network expansion Nepal Telecom (NT) will start a bridge-programme to expand its telephone network and try to offset the delay in launching its ambitious Next Generat...
Nepal Telecom assures congestion free network this festive season This Dashain, Nepal Telecom (NT) customers will not face any traffic congestion leading to their SMS reaching destinations couple of days later as i...
Nepal Telecom launches Easyphone Nepal Telecom (NT) launched Softphone, based on SIP (Session Initiation Protocol) under the brand name EasyPhone. With this, subscribers can make ec...
Rise in number of mobile phone users Number of mobile phone users is growing rapidly in Nepal. Latest Management Information System (MIS) report of Nepal Telecommunications Authority (N...
NT to introduce cheaper broadband service by August Nepal Telecom (NT) is preparing to offer broadband internet service at a cheaper rate across the country through its Internet Protocol-based Code Di...
Govt to prepare roadmap for IPv6 migration The government is gearing up to devise a roadmap for the migration of Internet Protocol Version 4 (IPv4) into IPv6, the next negation of IP address....
Ncell launches Free Facebook offer Ncell has launched 'Facebook Free' scheme in collaboration with Facebook, allowing its subscribers to use Facebook free of cost under the 'Internet ...
Nepal Telecom starts FTTH and Voice Telephony in selected areas Nepal Telecom has started offering internet service which it has been distributing under the fibre to the home (FTTH) service as well as Voice Tel...
Internet access reaches to one-third population in Nepal The number of internet service subscribers in the country has crossed the 10-million mark. It has taken nearly two decades to cross the milestone an...
The World Wide Web turns 29 years old Today marks the 29th year that the World Wide Web has been in existence. This will be the first time in history that more than half of the global ...
Net users on mobile increase: NTA Mobile internet service still dominates domestic internet service market, according to a report by the telecom regulator. Mobile internet, sub-broa...
Ncell launches data pack at just five rupees Ncell has launched a new internet package ‘Fucche Pack’, which comes at just five rupees, excluding taxes (Rs 6.38 including applicable taxes). ...
ISPs free internet home users from 13 percent TSC The government on Thursday decided to roll back its earlier decision to raise internet fees by 13 percent. The decision to this effect was made...
Australia willing to invest in 300MW solar powered system in Nepal Minister for Energy, Water Resources and Irrigation, Barshaman Pun, and Australian Ambassador to Nepal, Peter Budd, held discussion on the matters...
4G subscribers in Nepal crosses 1.6 million Since fourth-generation (4G) mobile network was first launched in Nepal on January 1 last year, more than 1.6 million people have subscribed to th...
Mero Surakshya brings insurance cover on new and old mobile handsets If your smartphone has become damaged,dysfunctional ,broken or even lost a company can come to your rescue. The company, Mero Surakshya, has start...
You might also like